Day 1009 [July 8/11 JST] – Looks Good for Ogasawara by Mid-day Saturday

Today's Report
July 8/11 0800 JST 

Position:  26°02'N, 142°32'E
Remaining to Yokohama:  573 nm (ETA: ? days)
Remaining to Ogasawara:  73 nm (ETA: 1.5 days)


Yesterday's winds held, giving Saito-san a respectable 41 nm DMG as he approaches a likely arrival in Ogasawara by mid-day tomorrow (Saturday JST). Winds were to continue out of the ENE and NE today at 6-10 kts, for close to a beam reach.

No adverse weather is seen within the next 3 days on ClearPoint, although a pair of cyclonic lows appear to be forming. One is toward his west, east of the Philippines, 400 nm away. The other is weaker but closer at 250 nm to his southeast. Both are characterized by revolving counter-clockwise winds centered on barometric lows of 996 and 1006 mb. ClearPoint shows them developing in their respective locations over the next 2-4 days, moving northward.

Two lows shown in ClearPoint projection 4 days from today
If nasty weather does come from those two lows, by then he will be in harbor and enjoying a well-deserved break after almost constant hand-steering during the two weeks since the aux generator quit -- and with it, the hydraulic steering.

During the past 24-hr period Saito-san made 41 nm DMG toward his Ogasawara destination. At 0800, he was just 35 nm southeast of the bottom of Hahajima (Island) which he plans to pass a comfortably safe 3 - 5 nm away on the leeward side of the island.


 He reported a boat speed of 2.5 kts on a heading of 310-320° at the time of his morning call.

***
Distance in last 24 hours: 41 nm DOG / 41 nm DMG
Total distance completed: 27,975 nm
To Yokohama: 573 nm (measured)
To Ogasawara: 73  nm (measured)

Average daily DMG over last 4 days of sailing: 27.0 nm (measured) 
ETA, Ogasawara: 1.5 days
ETA, Yokohama: ? days

Heading: 310-320°
Reported boat speed: 2.5 kt
Average boat speed: 1.7 kt
Weather: Broken clouds, warm, squalls in the area
Temperature: 28.0° C
Barometer: 1012 hPa 
Wind (from): 6-8 kts ENE & NE
Waves: 0.5 m
Sails: Genoa 90%, staysail 0%, mainsail 3pt reef
Engine: 0 hrs
Generator: 0 hrs

[Weather and wind forecasts are from ClearPoint Weather, a Saito 8 Supporting Sponsor.]